11:00
H
91.8% +28.5%
D
6.1% -75.6%
A
2.1% -85.3%
Home
+28.5%
O2.5 77.9% · BTTS 37.8%
Score
4–1
Pending
Football predictions today · Tue 14 Apr
205 graded O2.5 59% BTTS 57% 1X2 47% Full record →
11:00
H
47.3% +8.8%
D
22.6% -11.9%
A
30.1% -30.8%
BTTS
O2.5 63.8% · BTTS 64.3%
Score
3–1
Pending
12:00
H
23.5% -21.3%
D
24.9% -0.4%
A
51.6% -9.7%
Away
O2.5 48.5% · BTTS 50.6%
Score
1–2
Pending
12:00
H
26.2% -18.8%
D
22.5% -10.0%
A
51.2% -5.3%
BTTS
O2.5 61.2% · BTTS 61.3%
Score
1–3
0–1
Miss12:00
H
47.8% -8.7%
D
23.0% -3.4%
A
29.2% -18.2%
BTTS
O2.5 61.0% · BTTS 62.0%
Score
3–1
1–1
Hit12:00
H
44.3% +30.7%
D
23.1% -5.3%
A
32.6% -39.7%
BTTS
O2.5 62.5% · BTTS 63.7%
Score
3–1
0–4
Miss12:00
H
38.5% +0.1%
D
24.7% +1.3%
A
36.8% -24.6%
BTTS
O2.5 55.9% · BTTS 59.0%
Score
2–1
Pending
13:00
H
36.7% -29.9%
D
23.8% -7.2%
A
39.5% +16.5%
BTTS
O2.5 60.3% · BTTS 62.4%
Score
1–2
4–0
Miss
11:00
H
52.8% +45.2%
D
22.8% -27.0%
A
24.5% -43.6%
BTTS
O2.5 58.5% · BTTS 58.6%
Score
2–1
1–0
Miss
13:15
H
9.4% -1.3%
D
18.1% -16.7%
A
72.5% -7.2%
Away
O2.5 51.3% · BTTS 40.2%
Score
0–3
4–0
Hit
14:00
H
19.2% -21.3%
D
28.0% -6.2%
A
52.8% -5.0%
Away
O2.5 34.1% · BTTS 37.5%
Score
0–2
2–3
Hit16:30
H
77.8% -0.4%
D
17.0% -21.8%
A
5.3% -48.3%
Home
O2.5 42.7% · BTTS 25.6%
Score
2–0
3–0
Hit
15:00
H
39.7% +13.2%
D
30.2% -0.3%
A
30.1% -32.3%
No bet
O2.5 33.7% · BTTS 40.8%
Score
1–1
3–2
Skipped17:30
H
36.3% +4.5%
D
23.3% -25.4%
A
40.4% -9.1%
BTTS
+15.6%
O2.5 62.8% · BTTS 64.2%
Score
1–3
0–3
Miss15:00
H
66.0% +12.2%
D
19.0% -38.3%
A
15.0% -28.0%
Home
+12.2%
O2.5 61.9% · BTTS 55.2%
Score
3–1
1–1
Miss
16:00
H
48.0% +22.9%
D
25.3% -11.5%
A
26.8% -35.1%
BTTS
O2.5 49.5% · BTTS 52.5%
Score
2–1
3–1
Hit16:45
H
58.0% -20.0%
D
22.8% -2.0%
A
19.2% +45.9%
Home
O2.5 52.0% · BTTS 51.0%
Score
2–1
2–1
Hit
17:00
H
43.5% +10.5%
D
25.4% -17.4%
A
31.2% -15.8%
BTTS
O2.5 51.4% · BTTS 55.0%
Score
2–1
2–2
Hit17:15
H
63.0% +2.1%
D
18.7% -36.4%
A
18.3% -12.2%
O2.5
O2.5 69.4% · BTTS 63.8%
Score
3–1
Pending
18:00
H
63.8% +64.6%
D
20.4% -41.9%
A
15.8% -55.1%
Home
+64.6%
O2.5 56.8% · BTTS 52.1%
Score
2–1
1–1
Miss18:00
H
54.0% +23.1%
D
17.5% -43.1%
A
28.5% -11.7%
O2.5
+84.2%
O2.5 87.7% · BTTS 83.3%
Score
3–2
3–0
Hit20:15
H
20.2% -35.4%
D
28.9% -9.0%
A
50.9% +15.0%
Away
+15.0%
O2.5 32.5% · BTTS 36.8%
Score
0–2
Pending
18:00
H
74.8% +15.9%
D
16.8% -26.1%
A
8.4% -57.2%
Home
+15.9%
O2.5 53.8% · BTTS 40.1%
Score
3–0
2–2
Miss18:00
H
62.9% -2.5%
D
17.9% -21.2%
A
19.1% -2.6%
O2.5
+8.8%
O2.5 75.0% · BTTS 68.8%
Score
3–1
Pending
18:30
H
30.5% -19.2%
D
35.8% +3.1%
A
33.7% -10.7%
No bet
O2.5 20.7% · BTTS 29.4%
Score
1–1
1–1
Skipped18:30
H
28.2% -15.4%
D
23.3% -35.9%
A
48.5% +18.8%
BTTS
+43.5%
O2.5 59.1% · BTTS 60.3%
Score
1–2
2–0
Miss18:30
H
62.6% +22.1%
D
16.5% -48.9%
A
21.0% -21.3%
O2.5
+121.3%
O2.5 85.1% · BTTS 78.5%
Score
4–1
1–4
Hit18:30
H
2.2% -90.5%
D
8.2% -76.4%
A
89.6% +71.1%
Away
+71.1%
O2.5 64.0% · BTTS 26.3%
Score
0–4
0–0
Miss18:30
H
23.9% -47.4%
D
33.5% -4.5%
A
42.6% +44.8%
No bet
O2.5 24.0% · BTTS 31.3%
Score
0–2
0–2
Skipped23:00
H
2.1% -93.5%
D
4.4% -87.2%
A
93.5% +115.1%
Away
+115.1%
O2.5 90.1% · BTTS 53.3%
Score
1–4
Pending
23:00
H
37.8% -16.8%
D
26.5% -21.8%
A
35.6% +17.5%
BTTS
+10.0%
O2.5 47.5% · BTTS 52.4%
Score
2–1
Pending
18:45
H
58.3% +10.2%
D
24.0% -16.0%
A
17.7% -30.1%
Home
+10.2%
O2.5 45.5% · BTTS 45.1%
Score
3–0
5–1
Hit18:45
H
38.1% +18.1%
D
22.4% -21.6%
A
39.5% -14.7%
BTTS
+8.6%
O2.5 67.5% · BTTS 67.9%
Score
1–3
Pending
18:45
H
42.3% +7.4%
D
24.3% -16.2%
A
33.4% -13.8%
BTTS
O2.5 57.0% · BTTS 59.6%
Score
2–1
0–0
Miss18:45
H
32.2% -9.2%
D
24.3% -19.8%
A
43.5% +4.4%
BTTS
O2.5 56.8% · BTTS 59.3%
Score
1–2
0–0
Miss18:45
H
60.3% +10.9%
D
23.9% -18.7%
A
15.7% -32.0%
Home
+10.9%
O2.5 42.7% · BTTS 41.5%
Score
2–0
Pending
18:45
H
18.1% -36.6%
D
25.4% -16.2%
A
56.5% +17.5%
Away
+17.5%
O2.5 40.9% · BTTS 42.0%
Score
0–2
3–2
Miss18:45
H
45.0% +9.8%
D
23.8% -22.7%
A
31.2% -10.8%
BTTS
+7.1%
O2.5 58.6% · BTTS 60.5%
Score
2–1
2–1
Hit18:45
H
46.8% +18.9%
D
22.8% -23.6%
A
30.4% -19.4%
BTTS
+5.1%
O2.5 63.0% · BTTS 63.7%
Score
3–1
2–1
Hit18:45
H
23.5% -11.9%
D
21.5% -23.7%
A
55.0% -1.0%
O2.5
O2.5 63.3% · BTTS 61.8%
Score
1–3
0–2
Miss18:45
H
51.8% +8.8%
D
21.5% -25.8%
A
26.7% -19.9%
O2.5
+13.1%
O2.5 66.5% · BTTS 65.5%
Score
3–1
1–1
Miss18:45
H
22.6% -2.1%
D
25.7% -3.6%
A
51.7% -13.7%
Away
O2.5 44.5% · BTTS 47.2%
Score
0–3
2–2
Miss18:45
H
43.1% -5.2%
D
21.2% -24.7%
A
35.7% -0.0%
O2.5
+15.1%
O2.5 73.3% · BTTS 72.4%
Score
3–1
1–3
Hit18:45
H
34.9% +67.5%
D
24.0% -4.0%
A
41.1% -36.3%
BTTS
O2.5 58.6% · BTTS 61.0%
Score
1–2
1–3
Hit18:45
H
72.2% +30.0%
D
16.3% -40.5%
A
11.5% -57.5%
Home
+30.0%
O2.5 65.9% · BTTS 54.4%
Score
3–1
4–1
Hit18:45
H
61.5% +13.8%
D
20.6% -26.9%
A
17.9% -35.6%
Home
+13.8%
O2.5 59.8% · BTTS 56.0%
Score
2–1
2–1
Hit18:45
H
52.4% +17.9%
D
21.6% -27.6%
A
26.0% -25.9%
O2.5
+13.1%
O2.5 65.4% · BTTS 64.4%
Score
3–1
3–3
Hit18:45
H
53.3% -13.7%
D
27.6% +2.1%
A
19.2% -8.8%
Home
O2.5 35.4% · BTTS 38.5%
Score
2–0
1–0
Hit18:45
H
34.1% -21.6%
D
29.7% -3.5%
A
36.2% -5.9%
No bet
O2.5 35.9% · BTTS 43.0%
Score
1–1
4–0
Skipped18:45
H
22.3% -39.3%
D
23.2% -23.4%
A
54.5% +30.8%
Away
+30.8%
O2.5 54.2% · BTTS 54.4%
Score
1–2
2–2
Miss18:45
H
44.1% +32.3%
D
28.5% -14.5%
A
27.3% -35.6%
No bet
O2.5 38.0% · BTTS 43.8%
Score
2–0
0–2
Skipped18:45
H
20.1% +28.6%
D
22.2% -9.0%
A
57.7% -16.9%
Away
O2.5 55.7% · BTTS 54.4%
Score
1–2
0–2
Hit19:00
H
23.7% -11.1%
D
22.6% -23.2%
A
53.7% +5.8%
O2.5
+22.2%
O2.5 58.2% · BTTS 58.1%
Score
1–2
Pending
19:00
H
65.4% +2.0%
D
20.6% -20.7%
A
14.0% -18.8%
Home
+2.0%
O2.5 52.3% · BTTS 46.9%
Score
3–0
3–0
Hit—
H
27.1%
D
24.9%
A
48.0%
— no odds —
BTTS
O2.5 51.3% · BTTS 54.0%
Score
1–2
Pending
—
H
31.7%
D
27.8%
A
40.5%
— no odds —
No bet
O2.5 41.8% · BTTS 47.6%
Score
0–2
0–0
Skipped—
H
32.3%
D
26.4%
A
41.3%
— no odds —
BTTS
O2.5 47.5% · BTTS 52.1%
Score
1–2
6–2
Hit—
H
58.5%
D
22.1%
A
19.4%
— no odds —
Home
O2.5 55.4% · BTTS 53.7%
Score
2–1
Pending
—
H
81.6%
D
10.5%
A
7.9%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 85.4% · BTTS 66.9%
Score
4–1
4–1
Hit—
H
64.7%
D
20.2%
A
15.1%
— no odds —
Home
O2.5 56.2% · BTTS 50.9%
Score
2–1
3–1
Hit—
H
63.8%
D
25.5%
A
10.7%
— no odds —
Home
O2.5 30.9% · BTTS 27.9%
Score
2–0
Pending
—
H
29.9%
D
30.3%
A
39.8%
— no odds —
No bet
O2.5 33.4% · BTTS 40.6%
Score
1–1
1–4
Skipped—
H
72.6%
D
15.5%
A
11.9%
— no odds —
Home
O2.5 71.1% · BTTS 59.2%
Score
3–1
1–3
Miss—
H
32.2%
D
30.1%
A
37.7%
— no odds —
No bet
O2.5 34.5% · BTTS 41.7%
Score
1–1
Pending
—
H
70.9%
D
18.5%
A
10.6%
— no odds —
Home
O2.5 52.9% · BTTS 43.2%
Score
3–0
1–1
Miss—
H
91.0%
D
6.5%
A
2.5%
— no odds —
Home
O2.5 78.4% · BTTS 40.7%
Score
4–1
2–2
Miss—
H
17.0%
D
22.7%
A
60.3%
— no odds —
Away
O2.5 49.4% · BTTS 47.5%
Score
0–3
1–3
Hit—
H
27.2%
D
22.4%
A
50.5%
— no odds —
O2.5
O2.5 62.8% · BTTS 62.7%
Score
1–3
Pending
How the model calls it
01 · Strength
Attack and defence ratings per team from recent form, weighted by opposition — the inputs behind expected goals.
02 · Poisson
Goal expectancies become a full scoreline matrix: win, draw, Over 2.5, BTTS and top correct scores from one distribution.
03 · Edge
Model probability vs live bookmaker odds. A positive gap is value, flagged on every outcome as +EV%. No edge, no bet.
Questions, answered straight
How accurate are these football predictions?
Every pick is graded automatically at full time and kept on the public record. The full history, including losing days, is on the Accuracy page.
What is a value bet?
A bet where the model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. If the model says 49% and the odds imply 34%, that gap is the edge — shown as +EV% next to each outcome. Value bets can still lose; the point is being paid more than the risk is worth over hundreds of bets.
How does a Poisson model predict matches?
It estimates how many goals each team is expected to score from attack and defence strength, then computes the probability of every scoreline. Summing those scorelines gives win/draw/loss, Over/Under and BTTS probabilities from a single consistent model.
Are the predictions free?
Yes — every match, every league, every day.
Why does the model say "No bet" on some matches?
When no outcome clears the confidence threshold, the model passes. Skipping bad spots is part of how the hit rate stays honest — a tip site that picks every match is selling volume, not edge.