Peterhead vs Inverness Prediction— Scotland - League One

Scotland - League One Tuesday, April 14, 2026 18:45

Peterhead PPG 1.60

0-2 HIT CS4

Inverness PPG 1.69

Home· +28.6% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Peterhead face Inverness in Scotland - League One on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peterhead a 20% chance, the draw 22% and Inverness 58%, so Inverness are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Peterhead and 1.9 for Inverness (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peterhead are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.69 for Inverness. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +28.6%. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 20.1%

Odds: 6.40 EV: +28.6%

Draw 22.2%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -9.0%

Away 57.7%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -16.9%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 55.7% Odds: 1.70 -5.3%

Over 3.5 33.4% Odds: 2.75 -8.2%

BTTS 54.4% Odds: 1.80 -2.1%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-2 ✔

5th 1-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Peterhead

1.02

Inverness

1.89

Model SuggestionAway -16.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -16.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+28.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 16 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 63%

Score Hit 56%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.69)