Leagues / ARGENTINA / Primera B Metropolitana
Primera B Metropolitana
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 173 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
41.0%
1X2
71/173
72.3%
O/U 2.5
125/173
65.3%
BTTS
113/173
68.2%
Exact score
118/173
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
33
Settled
54.5%
Hit rate
18/33
2.22
Avg odds
+17.6%
ROI
+5.8u
Picks by market
BTTS · N=12 41.7% HIT · AVG 2.13 · -15.8% ROI
HOME WIN · N=10 90.0% HIT · AVG 2.18 · +96.5% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=7 28.6% HIT · AVG 2.12 · -44.9% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=4 50.0% HIT · AVG 2.73 · +30.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
6
Bets
17%
Hit
-68.2%
ROI
✓ Solid
3
Bets
100%
Hit
+121.7%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
23
Bets
61%
Hit
+31.5%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 5 PICKS · 2 HIT · 3 MISS
31 AUG Comunicaciones vs Deportivo Merlo Over 2.5 +2% 1–0 MISS30 AUG Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos BTTS +16% 1–0 MISS30 AUG Argentino de Merlo vs Villa Dalmine — NO PICK 0–0 —30 AUG Flandria vs San Martín Burzaco — NO PICK 2–0 —29 AUG Deportivo Laferrere vs Real Pilar BTTS +8% 1–1 HIT29 AUG Argentino Quilmes vs Sportivo Italiano — NO PICK 0–2 —29 AUG Ituzaingó vs Dock Sud — NO PICK 0–2 —29 AUG Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Camioneros — NO PICK 0–0 —29 AUG Arsenal Sarandi vs Excursionistas BTTS +5% 3–0 MISS29 AUG Talleres Remedios vs UAI Urquiza — NO PICK 1–0 —29 AUG Brown DE Adrogue vs Liniers — NO PICK 1–1 —26 AUG Deportivo Camioneros vs Comunicaciones — NO PICK 2–0 —26 AUG Liniers vs Deportivo Armenio — NO PICK 3–1 —26 AUG Deportivo Merlo vs Dock Sud BTTS +7% 1–2 HIT25 AUG Real Pilar vs Brown DE Adrogue — NO PICK 2–0 —