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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League
Tuesday, April 14, 2026
18:00
Al Quadisiya
PPG 2.29
2-2
MISS
Al Shabab
PPG 0.86
Home· +15.9%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
74.8%
Odds: 1.55
EV: +15.9%
Draw
16.8%
Odds: 4.40
EV: -26.1%
Away
8.4%
Odds: 5.10
EV: -57.2%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
53.8%
Odds: 1.45
-22.0%
Over 3.5
31.5%
Odds: 2.15
-32.3%
BTTS
40.1%
Odds: 1.50
-39.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
3-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
1-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Quadisiya
2.23
Al Shabab
0.60
Model Suggestion
Home
+15.9%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
98%
STRONG_HOME
Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.29), Away POOR (0.86) - Strong consensus