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Fleetwood U21 vs Swansea U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

England - Professional Development League Tuesday, April 14, 2026 12:00
Fleetwood U21 PPG 1.23
0-1 HIT CS3
Swansea U21 PPG 1.45
Away· -5.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Fleetwood U21 face Swansea U21 in England - Professional Development League on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fleetwood U21 a 26% chance, the draw 23% and Swansea U21 51%, so Swansea U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Fleetwood U21 and 1.9 for Swansea U21 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fleetwood U21 are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.45 for Swansea U21. This match finished 0-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.2%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -18.8%
Draw 22.5%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -10.0%
Away 51.2%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -5.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.2% Odds: —
Over 3.5 38.9% Odds: 1.65 -35.8%
BTTS 61.3% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-1
4th 0-2
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Fleetwood U21
1.29
Swansea U21
1.88

Model Suggestion

BTTS EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 18%
O2.5/Under 82%
BTTS/No 64%
Score Hit 55%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.23), Away AVERAGE (1.45)

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