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Al Wahda vs Al Adalha Prediction— Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Tuesday, April 14, 2026 18:00
Al Wahda PPG 1.43
VS PENDING
Al Adalha PPG 0.64
Over3.5· +18.5% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Wahda face Al Adalha in Saudi-Arabia - Pro League on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Wahda a 63% chance, the draw 18% and Al Adalha 19%, so Al Wahda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Al Wahda and 1.4 for Al Adalha (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Wahda are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.64 for Al Adalha. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +18.5%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.9%
Odds: 1.55 EV: -2.5%
Draw 17.9%
Odds: 4.40 EV: -21.2%
Away 19.1%
Odds: 5.10 EV: -2.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 75.0% Odds: 1.45 +8.8%
Over 3.5 55.1% Odds: 2.15 +18.5%
BTTS 68.8% Odds: 1.50 +3.2%

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 3-1
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Wahda
2.55
Al Adalha
1.37

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +8.8% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+18.5%)

League Track Record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5/Under 56%
BTTS/No 56%
Score Hit 50%
ROI -4.1%
Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away POOR (0.64)

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