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Al Wihdat vs Shabab Al Ordon Prediction— Jordan - League

Regular Season - 24 ·Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 16:30

Al Wihdat

PPG 2.27 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Shabab Al Ordon

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 77.8% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-13.2%0-20.6%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-018.7%1-16.5%1-21.1%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-019.1%2-16.6%2-21.2%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-013.0%3-14.5%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-010.6%4+-13.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 77.8% 78.1% 1.28 -0.4%

Draw 17.0% 21.7% 4.60 -21.8%

Away win 5.3% 10.3% 9.75 -48.3%

Over 2.5 42.7% 59.9% 1.67 -28.7%

Over 3.5 21.8% 37.7% 2.65 -42.2%

BTTS 25.6% 50.0% 2.00 -48.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 65%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 34.6%

Bet Hit 81%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob25.6%

H 78% / xG 2.0-0.3 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 26%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 19.1%

#2 1–0 18.7%

#3 3–0✓ 13.0%

#4 0–0 9.2%

#5 2–1 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Wihdat2.0

Shabab Al Ordon0.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.8%

Form & verdict PPG

AL WIHDAT · PPG 2.27

SHABAB AL ORDON · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.27), Away POOR (0.91) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Al Wihdat (H) 77.8%

ODDS 1.28 · IMPLIED 78.1% EV -0.4%

Draw 17.0%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -21.8%

Shabab Al Ordon (A) 5.3%

ODDS 9.75 · IMPLIED 10.3% EV -48.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Wihdat face Shabab Al Ordon in Jordan - League on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Wihdat a 78% chance, the draw 17% and Shabab Al Ordon 5%, so Al Wihdat are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Al Wihdat and 0.3 for Shabab Al Ordon (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 26% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Wihdat are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 0.91 for Shabab Al Ordon. This match finished 3-0.

Al Wihdat vs Shabab Al Ordon Prediction— Jordan - League

Match Preview & Prediction

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