Today / Bayern Hof vs Kornburg

Bayern Hof vs Kornburg Prediction

Bayern Nord - 22 ·Tuesday, April 14, 2026

Bayern Hof

PPG 1.33 · HOME

6 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kornburg

PPG 1.54 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away GOOD (1.54)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-110.5%0-27.3%0-33.4%0-4+1.6%1 1-09.1%1-112.6%1-28.7%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.4%2-17.5%2-25.2%2-32.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.1%3-13.0%3-22.1%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 41.3% — — —

Over 2.5 47.5% — — —

Over 3.5 25.8% — — —

BTTS 52.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.1%

A 41% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–1 10.5%

#3 1–0 9.1%

#4 1–2 8.7%

#5 0–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bayern Hof1.2

Kornburg1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BAYERN HOF · PPG 1.33

KORNBURG · PPG 1.54

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away GOOD (1.54)

Win probability 1X2

Bayern Hof (H) 32.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kornburg (A) 41.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bayern Hof face Kornburg on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bayern Hof a 32% chance, the draw 26% and Kornburg 41%, so Kornburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Bayern Hof and 1.4 for Kornburg (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bayern Hof are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.54 for Kornburg. This match finished 6-2.

Bayern Hof vs Kornburg Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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