Ferencvaros vs Puskas A. Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Hungary - NB I Tuesday, April 14, 2026 16:45

Ferencvaros PPG 1.54

2-1 HIT CS4

Puskas A. PPG 1.71

Away· +45.9% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ferencvaros face Puskas A. in Hungary - NB I on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ferencvaros a 58% chance, the draw 23% and Puskas A. 19%, so Ferencvaros are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Ferencvaros and 0.9 for Puskas A. (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ferencvaros are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 1.71 for Puskas A.. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +45.9%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 58.0%

Odds: 1.38 EV: -20.0%

Draw 22.8%

Odds: 4.30 EV: -2.0%

Away 19.2%

Odds: 7.60 EV: +45.9%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.0% Odds: 1.57 -18.4%

Over 3.5 29.8% Odds: 2.40 -28.5%

BTTS 51.0% Odds: 1.65 -15.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✔

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ferencvaros

1.82

Puskas A.

0.94

Model SuggestionHome -20.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -20.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+45.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5/Under 65%

BTTS/No 65%

Score Hit 48%

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.54), Away GOOD (1.71)