Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Ahli Prediction— Jordan - League

Jordan - League Regular Season - 24 Tuesday, April 14, 2026 14:00

Sama Al Sarhan PPG 0.27

2-3 MISS

Al Ahli PPG 1.17

Away· -5.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sama Al Sarhan face Al Ahli in Jordan - League on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sama Al Sarhan a 19% chance, the draw 28% and Al Ahli 53%, so Al Ahli are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Sama Al Sarhan and 1.4 for Al Ahli (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sama Al Sarhan are averaging 0.27 points per game versus 1.17 for Al Ahli. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 19.2%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -21.3%

Draw 28.0%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -6.2%

Away 52.8%

Odds: 1.80 EV: -5.0%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 34.1% Odds: 2.05 -30.1%

Over 3.5 15.5% Odds: 3.70 -42.6%

BTTS 37.5% Odds: 1.85 -30.6%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sama Al Sarhan

0.70

Al Ahli

1.36

Model SuggestionAway -5.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -5.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.17) vs Home POOR (0.27)