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Radcliffe vs Kidderminster Prediction— England - National League - North

England - National League - North Tuesday, April 14, 2026 18:45
Radcliffe PPG 1.38
1-3 MISS
Kidderminster PPG 1.52
Home· +67.5% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Radcliffe face Kidderminster in England - National League - North on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radcliffe a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Kidderminster 41%, so Kidderminster are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Radcliffe and 1.6 for Kidderminster (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radcliffe are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.52 for Kidderminster. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +67.5%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.9%
Odds: 4.80 EV: +67.5%
Draw 24.0%
Odds: 4.00 EV: -4.0%
Away 41.1%
Odds: 1.55 EV: -36.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.6% Odds: 1.57 -8.0%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 2.45 -11.3%
BTTS 61.0% Odds: 1.60 -2.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 0-1
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Radcliffe
1.45
Kidderminster
1.59

Model Suggestion

BTTS -2.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -2.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+67.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5/Under 66%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 31%
ROI 5.4%
Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away GOOD (1.52)

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