Today / England - National League - North / Radcliffe vs Kidderminster

Radcliffe vs Kidderminster Prediction— England - National League - North

Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 18:45

Radcliffe

PPG 1.38 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kidderminster

PPG 1.52 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 61.0% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.8%0-17.6%0-26.1%0-33.2%0-4+1.8%1 1-06.9%1-111.0%1-28.8%1-34.7%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.0%2-18.0%2-26.4%2-33.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-02.4%3-13.9%3-23.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.9%4+-21.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.9% 20.8% 4.80 +67.5%

Draw 24.0% 25.0% 4.00 -4.0%

Away win 41.1% 64.5% 1.55 -36.3%

Over 2.5 58.6% 63.7% 1.57 -8.0%

Over 3.5 36.2% 40.8% 2.45 -11.3%

BTTS 61.0% 62.5% 1.60 -2.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 31%

ROI 4.5%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob61.0%

A 41% / xG 1.4-1.6 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 0–1 7.6%

#5 1–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Radcliffe1.4

Kidderminster1.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 58.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RADCLIFFE · PPG 1.38

KIDDERMINSTER · PPG 1.52

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away GOOD (1.52)

Win probability 1X2

Radcliffe (H) 34.9%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +67.5%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -4.0%

Kidderminster (A) 41.1%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -36.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Radcliffe face Kidderminster in England - National League - North on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Radcliffe a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Kidderminster 41%, so Kidderminster are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Radcliffe and 1.6 for Kidderminster (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Radcliffe are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.52 for Kidderminster. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +67.5%. This match finished 1-3.

Radcliffe vs Kidderminster Prediction— England - National League - North

Match Preview & Prediction

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