League
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 20 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
65.0%
1X2
13/20
55.0%
O/U 2.5
11/20
70.0%
BTTS
14/20
60.0%
Exact score
12/20
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
16
Settled
81.2%
Hit rate
13/16
1.58
Avg odds
+34.6%
ROI
+5.5u
Picks by market
AWAY WIN · N=6 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.38 · -3.8% ROI
BTTS · N=4 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.83 · +83.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=3 66.7% HIT · AVG 1.33 · -10.7% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=3 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.92 · +92.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
100%
Hit
+75.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
3
Bets
100%
Hit
+65.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
2
Bets
100%
Hit
+96.5%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
9
Bets
67%
Hit
+1.7%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 8 PICKS · 7 HIT · 1 MISS
8 MAY Al Wihdat vs Al Ahli Home 2–0 HIT8 MAY Shabab Al Ordon vs Sama Al Sarhan — NO PICK 2–0 —8 MAY Al Hussein vs Al Faysali BTTS 1–0 MISS7 MAY Al Jazeera vs Al Salt BTTS -6% 1–1 HIT7 MAY Al Ramtha vs Al Buqaa Over 2.5 +13% 5–2 HIT4 MAY Al Ahli vs Al Buqaa BTTS +15% 2–1 HIT4 MAY Al Jazeera vs Shabab Al Ordon — NO PICK 1–3 —3 MAY Al Salt vs Al Wihdat BTTS -4% 1–1 HIT3 MAY Sama Al Sarhan vs Al Hussein Away -16% 0–2 HIT3 MAY Al Faysali vs Al Ramtha BTTS -0% 3–2 HIT