Today / Teutonia O. vs Dassendorf

Teutonia O. vs Dassendorf Prediction

Tuesday, April 14, 2026

Teutonia O.
PPG 2.00 · HOME
1 – 3
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY
Dassendorf
PPG 1.85 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.85)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-112.8%0-211.6%0-37.0%0-4+4.8%1 1-05.9%1-110.7%1-29.7%1-35.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-02.5%2-14.5%2-24.1%2-32.5%2-4+1.7%3 3-00.7%3-11.3%3-21.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 17.0%
Draw 22.7%
Away win 60.3%
Over 2.5 49.4%
Over 3.5 27.5%
BTTS 47.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 36%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-3
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob47.5%

A 60% / xG 0.8-1.8 / O2.5 49% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 12.8%
#2 0–2 11.6%
#3 1–1 10.7%
#4 1–2 9.7%
#5 0–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Teutonia O.0.8
Dassendorf1.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.4% · O3.5 PROB 27.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TEUTONIA O. · PPG 2.00

DASSENDORF · PPG 1.85

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.85)

Win probability 1X2

Teutonia O. (H) 17.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 22.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Dassendorf (A) 60.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Teutonia O. face Dassendorf on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Teutonia O. a 17% chance, the draw 23% and Dassendorf 60%, so Dassendorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Teutonia O. and 1.8 for Dassendorf (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Teutonia O. are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.85 for Dassendorf. This match finished 1-3.

PredictVantage

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