Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction— Bulgaria - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

Botev Vratsa face Lokomotiv Sofia in Bulgaria - First League on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Botev Vratsa a 40% chance, the draw 30% and Lokomotiv Sofia 30%, so Botev Vratsa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Botev Vratsa and 0.9 for Lokomotiv Sofia (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Botev Vratsa are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.14 for Lokomotiv Sofia. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +13.2%. This match finished 3-2.