Today / Augsburg B vs W. Burghausen

Augsburg B vs W. Burghausen Prediction

Tuesday, April 14, 2026

Augsburg B

PPG 0.54 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

W. Burghausen

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.5%0-112.0%0-27.6%0-33.2%0-4+1.3%1 1-010.3%1-113.1%1-28.3%1-33.5%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.6%2-17.1%2-24.5%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.0%3-12.6%3-21.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.7% — — —

Draw 27.8% — — —

Away win 40.5% — — —

Over 2.5 41.8% — — —

Over 3.5 21.2% — — —

BTTS 47.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob47.6%

A 40% / xG 1.1-1.3 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–1 12.0%

#3 1–0 10.3%

#4 0–0✓ 9.5%

#5 1–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Augsburg B1.1

W. Burghausen1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.8% · O3.5 PROB 21.2%

Form & verdict PPG

AUGSBURG B · PPG 0.54

W. BURGHAUSEN · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.54) vs Away POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

Augsburg B (H) 31.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

W. Burghausen (A) 40.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Augsburg B face W. Burghausen on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Augsburg B a 32% chance, the draw 28% and W. Burghausen 41%, so W. Burghausen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Augsburg B and 1.3 for W. Burghausen (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Augsburg B are averaging 0.54 points per game versus 0.92 for W. Burghausen. This match finished 0-0.

Augsburg B vs W. Burghausen Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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