Wigan Athletic vs Rotherham Prediction— England - League One

England - League One Tuesday, April 14, 2026 18:45

Wigan Athletic PPG 1.62

VS PENDING

Rotherham PPG 0.55

Home· +10.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Wigan Athletic face Rotherham in England - League One on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wigan Athletic a 60% chance, the draw 24% and Rotherham 16%, so Wigan Athletic are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Wigan Athletic and 0.7 for Rotherham (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wigan Athletic are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.55 for Rotherham. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.9%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.3%

Odds: 1.84 EV: +10.9%

Draw 23.9%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -18.7%

Away 15.7%

Odds: 4.33 EV: -32.0%

Model lean: Home

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.7% Odds: 2.10 -10.3%

Over 3.5 21.8% Odds: 3.85 -16.1%

BTTS 41.5% Odds: 1.90 -21.1%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0

2nd 2-0

3rd 1-1

4th 0-0

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Wigan Athletic

1.67

Rotherham

0.71

Model SuggestionHome +10.9% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -55.8%

Bet Hit 26% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.62) vs P(Home)=60.3%