Today / Karpaty U19 vs Oleksandria U19

Karpaty U19 vs Oleksandria U19 Prediction

Tuesday, April 14, 2026

Karpaty U19

PPG 1.40 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Oleksandria U19

PPG 0.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.40), Away POOR (0.55) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.5%0-21.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.7%1-16.8%1-23.4%1-31.2%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.0%2-19.1%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-08.0%3-18.1%3-24.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-010.2%4+-110.3%4+-25.2%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.6% — — —

Draw 15.5% — — —

Away win 11.9% — — —

Over 2.5 71.1% — — —

Over 3.5 50.2% — — —

BTTS 59.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 73%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob59.2%

H 73% / xG 2.7-1.0 / O2.5 71% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.1%

#2 2–0 9.0%

#3 3–1 8.1%

#4 3–0 8.0%

#5 1–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karpaty U192.7

Oleksandria U191.0

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.1% · O3.5 PROB 50.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KARPATY U19 · PPG 1.40

OLEKSANDRIA U19 · PPG 0.55

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.40), Away POOR (0.55) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Karpaty U19 (H) 72.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Oleksandria U19 (A) 11.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Karpaty U19 face Oleksandria U19 on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karpaty U19 a 73% chance, the draw 16% and Oleksandria U19 12%, so Karpaty U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Karpaty U19 and 1.0 for Oleksandria U19 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karpaty U19 are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.55 for Oleksandria U19. This match finished 1-3.

Karpaty U19 vs Oleksandria U19 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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