Leagues / SAUDI ARABIA / Pro League
Pro League
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
Upcoming Pro League predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
4 SEPT16:00 Abha vs Al-Ettifaq Over 2.5 62% 1.73 +7%4 SEPT18:00 Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Riyadh Over 2.5 68% 1.48 +1%4 SEPT18:00 Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC AO1.5 — — —// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 75 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
57.3%
1X2
43/75
54.7%
O/U 2.5
41/75
50.7%
BTTS
38/75
41.3%
Exact score
31/75
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
10
Settled
50.0%
Hit rate
5/10
1.61
Avg odds
-19.3%
ROI
-1.9u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=4 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.63 · -100.0% ROI
BTTS · N=3 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.73 · +73.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.35 · -42.5% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.73 · +73.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
3
Bets
67%
Hit
+16.7%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
3
Bets
33%
Hit
-40.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
4
Bets
50%
Hit
-30.8%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
September 2026 // 4 PICKS · 2 HIT · 2 MISS
3 SEPT Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood BTTS +8% 2–2 HIT3 SEPT NEOM vs Al Khaleej Saihat BTTS -8% 3–0 MISS3 SEPT Al Diriyah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC BTTS -10% 0–2 MISS1 SEPT Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Over 2.5 -3% 3–0 HITAugust 2026 // 11 PICKS · 7 HIT · 4 MISS
30 AUG Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab BTTS 1–1 HIT29 AUG Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Over 2.5 -12% 3–1 HIT29 AUG Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC BTTS -21% 0–0 MISS28 AUG Al Riyadh vs NEOM Over 2.5 +7% 1–0 MISS28 AUG Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon HO1.5 2–1 HIT28 AUG Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC Away -32% 1–5 HIT25 AUG Al Taawon vs Al-Fayha HO1.5 0–0 MISS25 AUG Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh Over 2.5 -3% 3–3 HIT25 AUG Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr Over 2.5 -18% 2–3 HIT24 AUG NEOM vs Al-Qadisiyah FC BTTS -16% 0–2 MISS24 AUG Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm Over 2.5 3–2 HIT