Leagues / ENGLAND / National League
National League
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 27 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
51.9%
1X2
14/27
37.0%
O/U 2.5
10/27
44.4%
BTTS
12/27
48.1%
Exact score
13/27
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
24
Settled
79.2%
Hit rate
19/24
1.57
Avg odds
+21.9%
ROI
+5.3u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=8 75.0% HIT · AVG 1.60 · +15.6% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=7 57.1% HIT · AVG 1.57 · -13.9% ROI
BTTS · N=7 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.55 · +54.9% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.56 · +56.5% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-33.5%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
5
Bets
60%
Hit
+11.4%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
17
Bets
88%
Hit
+31.5%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
April 2026 // 13 PICKS · 10 HIT · 3 MISS
25 APR Southend Utd vs Wealdstone Home +6% 2–1 HIT25 APR Tamworth vs Braintree Town Home +2% 5–1 HIT25 APR Yeovil Town vs Solihull Moors BTTS -13% 1–4 HIT25 APR Woking vs Halifax Town Over 2.5 -1% 0–1 MISS25 APR Aldershot Town vs Truro City Home +8% 0–2 MISS25 APR Altrincham vs Gateshead FC Home +24% 3–1 HIT25 APR Boreham Wood vs Sutton Utd Home +11% 1–0 HIT25 APR Boston Utd vs Hartlepool — NO PICK 3–1 —25 APR Carlisle Utd vs Brackley Town Home +8% 3–0 HIT25 APR Forest Green vs Morecambe Over 2.5 +6% 5–0 HIT25 APR Rochdale vs York City BTTS -12% 1–1 HIT25 APR Scunthorpe vs Eastleigh Home +22% 0–1 MISS21 APR Hartlepool vs Southend Utd — NO PICK 4–3 —18 APR Halifax Town vs Southend Utd BTTS -10% 2–6 HIT18 APR Brackley Town vs Aldershot Town BTTS -12% 2–1 HIT