Leagues / ENGLAND / National League
National League
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
Upcoming National League predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
4 SEPT18:45 Altrincham vs Eastleigh BTTS 55% 1.60 -13%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 47 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
55.3%
1X2
26/47
46.8%
O/U 2.5
22/47
53.2%
BTTS
25/47
53.2%
Exact score
25/47
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
18
Settled
83.3%
Hit rate
15/18
1.64
Avg odds
+35.2%
ROI
+6.3u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=9 88.9% HIT · AVG 1.60 · +41.6% ROI
HOME WIN · N=7 71.4% HIT · AVG 1.67 · +16.3% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.85 · +85.0% ROI
HOME O1.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.60 · +60.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
2
Bets
50%
Hit
-33.5%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
9
Bets
89%
Hit
+54.2%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
7
Bets
86%
Hit
+30.3%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
September 2026 // 1 PICK · 0 HIT · 1 MISS
1 SEPT FC Halifax Town vs Hartlepool BTTS -6% 1–0 MISSAugust 2026 // 14 PICKS · 10 HIT · 4 MISS
31 AUG Carlisle vs Scunthorpe Over 2.5 +5% 4–2 HIT31 AUG Yeovil Town vs Tamworth Over 2.5 +8% 3–2 HIT31 AUG Forest Green vs Altrincham BTTS -19% 1–2 HIT31 AUG Eastleigh vs Aldershot Town BTTS -16% 1–1 HIT31 AUG Woking vs Southend BTTS -7% 1–1 HIT31 AUG Sutton Utd vs Wealdstone Over 2.5 -9% 0–2 MISS28 AUG Altrincham vs FC Halifax Town BTTS -3% 2–1 HIT28 AUG Wealdstone vs Carlisle Over 2.5 -2% 1–1 MISS28 AUG Gateshead vs Sutton Utd BTTS -16% 0–1 MISS28 AUG Hartlepool vs Eastleigh BTTS -10% 0–1 MISS28 AUG Scunthorpe vs Solihull Moors HO1.5 3–1 HIT27 AUG Boreham Wood vs Boston United BTTS -7% 2–1 HIT22 AUG Forest Green vs Boreham Wood Over 2.5 +1% 0–3 HIT22 AUG Boston United vs Altrincham Home -13% 1–0 HIT