Today / England - Professional Development League / Wigan U21 vs Charlton U21

Wigan U21 vs Charlton U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 11:00

Wigan U21

PPG 1.38 · HOME

UPCOMING

Charlton U21

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.42)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-15.4%0-23.9%0-31.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-06.9%1-19.9%1-27.1%1-33.4%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-19.2%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.6%3 3-03.9%3-15.7%3-24.1%3-32.0%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-14.0%4+-22.9%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.3% 43.5% 2.30 +8.8%

Draw 22.6% 25.6% 3.90 -11.9%

Away win 30.1% 43.5% 2.30 -30.8%

Over 2.5 63.8% — — —

Over 3.5 41.7% 60.6% 1.65 -31.2%

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 18%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 51%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob64.3%

H 47% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.9%

#2 2–1 9.2%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 1–0 6.9%

#5 2–2 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wigan U211.8

Charlton U211.4

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 41.7%

Form & verdict PPG

WIGAN U21 · PPG 1.38

CHARLTON U21 · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.38), Away AVERAGE (1.42)

Win probability 1X2

Wigan U21 (H) 47.3%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +8.8%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -11.9%

Charlton U21 (A) 30.1%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -30.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wigan U21 face Charlton U21 in England - Professional Development League on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wigan U21 a 47% chance, the draw 23% and Charlton U21 30%, so Wigan U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Wigan U21 and 1.4 for Charlton U21 (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wigan U21 are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.42 for Charlton U21. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +8.8%.

Wigan U21 vs Charlton U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - Professional Development League Predictions