Leagues / ENGLAND / National League - North
National League - North
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 54 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
42.6%
1X2
23/54
61.1%
O/U 2.5
33/54
59.3%
BTTS
32/54
35.2%
Exact score
19/54
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
19
Settled
63.2%
Hit rate
12/19
1.66
Avg odds
+5.0%
ROI
+0.9u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=15 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.62 · -1.5% ROI
HOME WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.88 · -10.0% ROI
BTTS · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.69 · +68.5% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
15
Bets
67%
Hit
+11.7%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
3
Bets
67%
Hit
+6.7%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 15 PICKS · 10 HIT · 5 MISS
31 AUG AFC Telford United vs Bedford Town Over 2.5 +2% 0–1 MISS31 AUG Buxton vs Merthyr Town Over 2.5 -10% 2–1 HIT31 AUG Worksop Town vs Oxford City Over 2.5 +5% 0–1 MISS31 AUG Southport vs Hereford Over 2.5 +5% 0–1 MISS31 AUG Radcliffe vs Darlington 1883 Over 2.5 -3% 0–1 MISS31 AUG King's Lynn Town vs Scarborough Athletic Over 2.5 +15% 3–1 HIT29 AUG Merthyr Town vs Chorley BTTS -2% 1–1 HIT29 AUG Marine vs Radcliffe BTTS -8% 2–0 MISS29 AUG Hereford vs Chester BTTS -12% 1–1 HIT29 AUG Darlington 1883 vs Macclesfield BTTS -3% 1–2 HIT29 AUG Bedford Town vs Spennymoor Town Over 2.5 +7% 3–1 HIT29 AUG Scarborough Athletic vs Southport Over 2.5 +8% 5–1 HIT28 AUG Oxford City vs Buxton BTTS -19% 2–3 HIT22 AUG Chorley vs Scarborough Athletic Over 2.5 +21% 2–1 HIT22 AUG Spennymoor Town vs Oxford City BTTS -14% 1–4 HIT