Leagues / ENGLAND / National League - North
National League - North
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 29 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
37.9%
1X2
11/29
65.5%
O/U 2.5
19/29
62.1%
BTTS
18/29
31.0%
Exact score
9/29
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
29
Settled
69.0%
Hit rate
20/29
1.53
Avg odds
+4.5%
ROI
+1.3u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=11 72.7% HIT · AVG 1.51 · +10.3% ROI
BTTS · N=11 72.7% HIT · AVG 1.58 · +15.4% ROI
HOME WIN · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.46 · -16.2% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.48 · -36.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
4
Bets
100%
Hit
+28.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
9
Bets
78%
Hit
+24.3%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
15
Bets
60%
Hit
-6.8%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
April 2026 // 15 PICKS · 10 HIT · 5 MISS
25 APR Radcliffe vs Macclesfield Over 2.5 +16% 1–0 MISS25 APR Merthyr Town vs AFC Fylde Over 2.5 +10% 2–4 HIT25 APR Southport vs Telford Utd BTTS -7% 2–0 MISS25 APR Spennymoor vs Marine BTTS -10% 1–1 HIT25 APR Alfreton Town vs Curzon BTTS -5% 3–3 HIT25 APR Bedford Town vs Scarborough BTTS -12% 1–1 HIT25 APR Buxton vs Leamington Home -10% 4–1 HIT25 APR Chester vs Kings Lynn BTTS -6% 0–0 MISS25 APR Chorley vs Worksop Town BTTS +0% 2–1 HIT25 APR Darlington vs Oxford City Over 2.5 -8% 1–3 HIT25 APR Hereford Utd vs Peterborough S. Over 2.5 -1% 2–2 HIT25 APR Kidderminster vs South Shields BTTS -15% 1–0 MISS21 APR Macclesfield vs Southport Over 2.5 +20% 2–1 HIT18 APR Telford Utd vs Darlington Over 2.5 +3% 1–1 MISS18 APR AFC Fylde vs Southport Home -9% 4–0 HIT