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Spain - Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Tuesday, April 14, 2026 15:00
Real Madrid B PPG 2.06
1-1 HIT CS4
Ourense CF PPG 0.56
Over3.5· +78.2% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 66.0%
Odds: 1.70 EV: +12.2%
Draw 19.0%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -38.3%
Away 15.0%
Odds: 4.80 EV: -28.0%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.9% Odds: 2.40 +48.6%
Over 3.5 39.6% Odds: 4.50 +78.2%
BTTS 55.2% Odds: 2.15 +18.7%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Real Madrid B
2.23
Ourense CF
0.96

Model Suggestion

Home +12.2% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+78.2%)

League Track Record

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%
O2.5/Under 53%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -35.1%
Bet Hit 35% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.06), Away POOR (0.56) - Strong consensus

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