Leagues / SAUDI ARABIA / Division 1
Division 1
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 58 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
56.9%
1X2
33/58
60.3%
O/U 2.5
35/58
46.6%
BTTS
27/58
50.0%
Exact score
29/58
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
12
Settled
50.0%
Hit rate
6/12
1.76
Avg odds
-14.4%
ROI
-1.7u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=7 42.9% HIT · AVG 1.66 · -29.7% ROI
BTTS · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.77 · -19.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.97 · -16.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.05 · +105.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
5
Bets
60%
Hit
+6.4%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
6
Bets
50%
Hit
-17.5%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
September 2026 // 1 PICK · 0 HIT · 1 MISS
2 SEPT Al Wehda Club vs Damac — NO PICK 2–2 —2 SEPT Al Ula vs Al-Raed BTTS -7% 2–0 MISS1 SEPT Al Orubah vs Al Zulfi — NO PICK 1–1 —August 2026 // 9 PICKS · 3 HIT · 6 MISS
31 AUG Al Bukayriyah vs Al-Adalah BTTS -7% 0–1 MISS31 AUG Al Taee vs Al Jandal BTTS -2% 2–1 HIT28 AUG Al Anwar vs Al Ula Over 2.5 -8% 0–1 MISS26 AUG Al-Adalah vs Al Taee BTTS -13% 3–4 HIT26 AUG Al Zulfi vs Al Wehda Club BTTS -10% 0–0 MISS23 AUG Al Ula vs Al Jabalain Over 2.5 3–1 HIT22 AUG Al Orubah vs Al-Raed BTTS -4% 0–1 MISS21 AUG Al Bukayriyah vs Al Anwar BTTS -9% 0–0 MISS21 AUG Al Wehda Club vs Al-Adalah Over 2.5 +4% 1–1 MISSMay 2026 // 3 PICKS · 2 HIT · 1 MISS
14 MAY Al Wahda vs Al Jabalain Over 2.5 -6% 0–1 MISS14 MAY Al Orubah vs Al Anwar BTTS -16% 3–1 HIT14 MAY Al Ula vs Al Zulfi Home -20% 4–2 HIT