Italy - Serie B

40 matches 40 resolved 14 Apr 2026 – 8 May 2026

ROI +694.0%

Accuracy

1X2 21/40 correct

O2.5/Under 22/40 correct

BTTS/No 23/40 correct

Score 24/40 correct

Track Record

17 Settled Bets

10 Winning Bets

58.8% Hit Rate

+694.0% ROI

2.02 Avg Odds

By Grade

Grade	Bets	Hit%	ROI
A	11	54.5%	−309.0%
C	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
D	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
F	1	100.0%	+9000.0%
Unrated	3	100.0%	+8733.0%

By Market

Market	Bets	Hit%	ROI
Home	14	57.1%	+129.0%
Over2.5	2	50.0%	−1000.0%
Away	1	100.0%	+12000.0%

By Verdict

Verdict	Bets	Hit%	ROI
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned \| Best EV: Home @24%	2	100.0%	+7150.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage \| Best EV: Home @10%	1	100.0%	+10000.0%
✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity \| Best EV: Away @48%	1	100.0%	+12000.0%
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value \| Best EV: Home @39%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value \| Best EV: Home @52%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned \| Best EV: Home @54%	1	100.0%	+8000.0%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned \| Best EV: Home @34%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form \| No clear value	1	100.0%	+6200.0%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned \| Best EV: Home @66%	1	100.0%	+11800.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage \| Best EV: Home @6%	1	100.0%	+10000.0%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned \| Best EV: Home @31%	1	100.0%	+6000.0%
✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value \| Best EV: Over2.5 @16%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value \| Best EV: Home @36%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned \| Best EV: Home @20%	1	100.0%	+3500.0%
✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value \| Best EV: Home @47%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned \| Best EV: Home @39%	1	0.0%	−10000.0%

All Resolved Matches (40)

Date	Match	Pick	Odds	Result	Hit
8 May	Avellino vs Modena	BTTS	1% EV	1-0	MISS
8 May	Catanzaro vs Bari	Over 2.5	-12% EV	2-3	HIT
8 May	Cesena vs Padova	BTTS	-13% EV	3-4	HIT
8 May	Entella vs Carrarese	BTTS	-13% EV	2-1	HIT
8 May	Frosinone vs Mantova	Over 2.5	-21% EV	5-0	HIT
8 May	Monza vs Empoli	Home	-15% EV	2-2	MISS
8 May	Pescara vs Spezia	BTTS	-13% EV	1-1	HIT
8 May	Reggiana vs Sampdoria	—	—	1-0	—
8 May	Sudtirol vs Juve Stabia	—	—	1-1	—
8 May	Venezia vs Palermo	BTTS	-15% EV	2-0	MISS
1 May	Carrarese vs Cesena	BTTS	-13% EV	0-0	MISS
1 May	Empoli vs Avellino	BTTS	-1% EV	1-0	MISS
1 May	Juve Stabia vs Frosinone	BTTS	—	0-1	MISS
1 May	Mantova vs Monza	BTTS	-10% EV	3-2	HIT
1 May	Modena vs Reggiana	Home	-15% EV	2-1	HIT
1 May	Padova vs Pescara	BTTS	-15% EV	1-0	MISS
1 May	Palermo vs Catanzaro	BTTS	—	3-2	HIT
1 May	Sampdoria vs Sudtirol	—	—	1-0	—
1 May	Bari vs Entella	—	—	2-0	—
1 May	Spezia vs Venezia	BTTS	-14% EV	2-2	HIT
25 Apr	Catanzaro vs Spezia	Home	66% EV	4-2	HIT
25 Apr	Sudtirol vs Mantova	Home	36% EV	0-3	MISS
25 Apr	Reggiana vs Palermo	Away	-19% EV	1-1	MISS
25 Apr	Entella vs Padova	Home	6% EV	1-0	HIT
25 Apr	Frosinone vs Carrarese	Home	31% EV	3-0	HIT
25 Apr	Pescara vs Juve Stabia	Over 2.5	16% EV	1-1	MISS
25 Apr	Venezia vs Empoli	Home	20% EV	2-0	HIT
25 Apr	Cesena vs Sampdoria	Home	47% EV	0-0	MISS
24 Apr	Monza vs Modena	Home	2% EV	1-0	HIT
24 Apr	Avellino vs Bari	Home	24% EV	2-0	HIT
19 Apr	Carrarese vs Pescara	Over 2.5	27% EV	2-2	HIT
19 Apr	Padova vs Reggiana	Home	10% EV	1-0	HIT
19 Apr	Empoli vs Entella	Home	34% EV	1-1	MISS
18 Apr	Bari vs Venezia	Away	-14% EV	0-3	HIT
18 Apr	Monza U20 vs Frosinone U20	Home	52% EV	1-2	MISS
18 Apr	Modena vs Frosinone	—	—	1-2	—
18 Apr	Mantova vs Avellino	Home	39% EV	0-2	MISS
18 Apr	Palermo vs Cesena	Home	24% EV	2-0	HIT
17 Apr	Sampdoria vs Monza	Away	48% EV	0-3	HIT
14 Apr	Catanzaro vs Modena	BTTS	-7% EV	2-2	HIT