D. Laferrere face UAI Urquiza in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Laferrere a 38% chance, the draw 27% and UAI Urquiza 36%, so D. Laferrere are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for D. Laferrere and 1.3 for UAI Urquiza (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Laferrere are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.75 for UAI Urquiza. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +23.5%.
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.50) > Away POOR (0.75)