Today / ETSV Hamburg vs Victoria H.

ETSV Hamburg vs Victoria H. Prediction

Tuesday, April 14, 2026

ETSV Hamburg

PPG 2.58 · HOME

UPCOMING

Victoria H.

PPG 2.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.58) > Away EXCELLENT (2.23)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-16.3%0-21.4%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-021.5%1-19.5%1-22.1%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.1%2-17.1%2-21.6%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-08.1%3-13.6%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-11.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 63.8% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 10.7% — — —

Over 2.5 30.9% — — —

Over 3.5 13.4% — — —

BTTS 27.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob27.9%

H 64% / xG 1.5-0.4 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 28%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.5%

#2 2–0 16.1%

#3 0–0 14.3%

#4 1–1 9.5%

#5 3–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

ETSV Hamburg1.5

Victoria H.0.4

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 30.9% · O3.5 PROB 13.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ETSV HAMBURG · PPG 2.58

VICTORIA H. · PPG 2.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.58) > Away EXCELLENT (2.23)

Win probability 1X2

ETSV Hamburg (H) 63.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Victoria H. (A) 10.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

ETSV Hamburg face Victoria H. on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ETSV Hamburg a 64% chance, the draw 26% and Victoria H. 11%, so ETSV Hamburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for ETSV Hamburg and 0.4 for Victoria H. (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 28% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ETSV Hamburg are averaging 2.58 points per game versus 2.23 for Victoria H..

ETSV Hamburg vs Victoria H. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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