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Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Tuesday, April 14, 2026 18:30
Argentino Merlo PPG 1.75
1-1 HIT CS4
Excursionistas PPG 1.75
Draw· +3.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.5%
Odds: 2.65 EV: -19.2%
Draw 35.8%
Odds: 2.88 EV: +3.1%
Away 33.7%
Odds: 2.65 EV: -10.7%
Result: Draw ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 20.7% Odds: 2.70 -44.1%
Over 3.5 7.4% Odds: —
BTTS 29.4% Odds: 2.10 -38.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-0
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-0
4th 1-1
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Argentino Merlo
0.75
Excursionistas
0.81

Model Suggestion

No Bet NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

League Track Record

Based on 85 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 65%
ROI 16.1%
Bet Hit 52% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away GOOD (1.75)

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