Leagues / SPAIN / Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 20 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
45.0%
1X2
9/20
45.0%
O/U 2.5
9/20
50.0%
BTTS
10/20
55.0%
Exact score
11/20
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
10
Settled
60.0%
Hit rate
6/10
1.65
Avg odds
-7.1%
ROI
-0.7u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=5 60.0% HIT · AVG 1.55 · -16.6% ROI
BTTS · N=4 75.0% HIT · AVG 1.74 · +28.0% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.73 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+62.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+10.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
7
Bets
57%
Hit
-6.1%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 5 PICKS · 4 HIT · 1 MISS
3 MAY Socuellamos vs Las Palmas B BTTS -11% 1–1 HIT3 MAY RSD Alcala vs CD Coria BTTS -14% 1–2 HIT3 MAY Real Madrid C vs Conquense — NO PICK 0–1 —3 MAY Intercity vs Colonia M. BTTS +1% 2–0 MISS3 MAY R. Majadahonda vs R. Vallecano B Home -30% 3–0 HIT3 MAY Orihuela vs Getafe B BTTS -2% 2–1 HIT3 MAY Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada — NO PICK 3–1 —April 2026 // 7 PICKS · 2 HIT · 5 MISS
26 APR Getafe B vs Intercity Home +11% 0–1 MISS26 APR Colonia M. vs Navalcarnero Over 2.5 0–0 MISS26 APR Conquense vs Tenerife B Over 2.5 1–0 MISS26 APR Fuenlabrada vs R. Majadahonda — NO PICK 0–0 —26 APR Las Palmas B vs Orihuela BTTS 2–1 HIT26 APR Quintanar vs RSD Alcala BTTS 0–0 MISS26 APR R. Vallecano B vs Socuellamos Over 2.5 +2% 0–2 MISS19 APR Getafe B vs Las Palmas B Home +16% 3–0 HIT