| Grade | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | 1 | 100.0% | +6200.0% |
| F | 3 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| Unrated | 3 | 66.7% | +333.0% |
| Market | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4 | 50.0% | −2325.0% |
| Over2.5 | 2 | 50.0% | −1750.0% |
| BTTS | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| Verdict | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @16% | 1 | 100.0% | +6200.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @6% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @8% | 1 | 100.0% | +4500.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | Best EV: Over2.5 @9% | 1 | 100.0% | +6500.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | Best EV: Over2.5 @15% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @10% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Away @24% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Result | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 May | Socuellamos vs Las Palmas B | BTTS | -11% EV | 1-1 | HIT |
| 3 May | R. Majadahonda vs R. Vallecano B | Home | -30% EV | 3-0 | HIT |
| 3 May | Intercity vs Colonia M. | BTTS | 1% EV | 2-0 | MISS |
| 3 May | Real Madrid C vs Conquense | — | — | 0-1 | — |
| 3 May | Navalcarnero vs Fuenlabrada | — | — | 3-1 | — |
| 3 May | Orihuela vs Getafe B | BTTS | -2% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 3 May | RSD Alcala vs CD Coria | BTTS | -14% EV | 1-2 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Colonia M. vs Navalcarnero | Over 2.5 | — | 0-0 | MISS |
| 26 Apr | Fuenlabrada vs R. Majadahonda | — | — | 0-0 | — |
| 26 Apr | Getafe B vs Intercity | Home | 11% EV | 0-1 | MISS |
| 26 Apr | Las Palmas B vs Orihuela | BTTS | — | 2-1 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Quintanar vs RSD Alcala | BTTS | — | 0-0 | MISS |
| 26 Apr | R. Vallecano B vs Socuellamos | Over 2.5 | 2% EV | 0-2 | MISS |
| 26 Apr | Conquense vs Tenerife B | Over 2.5 | — | 1-0 | MISS |
| 19 Apr | Getafe B vs Las Palmas B | Home | 16% EV | 3-0 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | Navalcarnero vs Conquense | — | — | 2-0 | — |
| 19 Apr | Intercity vs Quintanar | Home | 6% EV | 1-2 | MISS |
| 19 Apr | RSD Alcala vs R. Vallecano B | Home | 8% EV | 3-0 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | Socuellamos vs Fuenlabrada | — | — | 2-3 | — |
| 19 Apr | Tenerife B vs CD Coria | BTTS | — | 4-0 | MISS |