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Flandria vs V. San Carlos Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Tuesday, April 14, 2026 18:30
Flandria PPG 1.50
1-4 MISS
V. San Carlos PPG 0.33
Over2.5· +121.3% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Flandria face V. San Carlos in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Flandria a 63% chance, the draw 17% and V. San Carlos 21%, so Flandria are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Flandria and 1.8 for V. San Carlos (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 79% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Flandria are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.33 for V. San Carlos. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +121.3%. This match finished 1-4.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.6%
Odds: 1.95 EV: +22.1%
Draw 16.5%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -48.9%
Away 21.0%
Odds: 3.75 EV: -21.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 85.1% Odds: 2.60 +121.3%
Over 3.5 69.5% Odds: —
BTTS 78.5% Odds: 2.15 +68.8%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 3-1
3rd 2-2
4th 3-2
5th 4-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Flandria
2.98
V. San Carlos
1.76

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +121.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.

League Track Record

Based on 85 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%
O2.5/Under 71%
BTTS/No 66%
Score Hit 65%
ROI 16.1%
Bet Hit 52% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=62.6%

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