Leagues / ENGLAND / League Two
League Two
▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE
MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE
// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 41 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
43.9%
1X2
18/41
51.2%
O/U 2.5
21/41
61.0%
BTTS
25/41
48.8%
Exact score
20/41
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
31
Settled
64.5%
Hit rate
20/31
1.83
Avg odds
+9.4%
ROI
+2.9u
Picks by market
BTTS · N=16 81.2% HIT · AVG 1.69 · +37.0% ROI
HOME WIN · N=13 46.2% HIT · AVG 1.96 · -24.1% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.08 · -100.0% ROI
OVER 2.5 · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 2.15 · +115.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
0%
Hit
-100.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
5
Bets
40%
Hit
-27.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
9
Bets
78%
Hit
+37.7%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
16
Bets
69%
Hit
+11.8%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
May 2026 // 9 PICKS · 7 HIT · 2 MISS
2 MAY Barrow vs Newport BTTS -1% 1–2 HIT2 MAY Tranmere vs Grimsby BTTS -9% 1–1 HIT2 MAY Swindon Town vs Chesterfield BTTS -12% 1–2 HIT2 MAY Oldham vs Accrington — NO PICK 3–0 —2 MAY Notts County vs Bristol Rovers BTTS -10% 1–1 HIT2 MAY Harrogate vs Barnet — NO PICK 1–2 —2 MAY Gillingham vs Shrewsbury BTTS -0% 1–0 MISS2 MAY Fleetwood vs Milton Keynes BTTS -2% 1–1 HIT2 MAY Crewe Alexandra vs Cambridge Utd — NO PICK 0–0 —2 MAY Crawley Town vs Salford City BTTS -14% 0–0 MISS2 MAY Cheltenham vs Colchester Utd BTTS -11% 1–4 HIT2 MAY Bromley vs Walsall BTTS -16% 3–1 HITApril 2026 // 2 PICKS · 2 HIT · 0 MISS
25 APR Milton Keynes vs Tranmere Home +13% 3–0 HIT25 APR Grimsby vs Swindon Town Home -8% 4–0 HIT25 APR Colchester Utd vs Notts County — NO PICK 0–1 —