T. Wilhelmsburg face Sasel on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives T. Wilhelmsburg a 27% chance, the draw 22% and Sasel 51%, so Sasel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for T. Wilhelmsburg and 1.9 for Sasel (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, T. Wilhelmsburg are averaging 0.91 points per game versus 1.15 for Sasel.
Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.91), Away AVERAGE (1.15)