Airdrieonians vs Dunfermline Prediction— Scotland - Championship

Scotland - Championship Tuesday, April 14, 2026 18:45

Airdrieonians PPG 0.80

2-2 MISS

Dunfermline PPG 1.31

Away· +30.8% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Airdrieonians face Dunfermline in Scotland - Championship on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Airdrieonians a 22% chance, the draw 23% and Dunfermline 55%, so Dunfermline are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Airdrieonians and 1.8 for Dunfermline (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Airdrieonians are averaging 0.80 points per game versus 1.31 for Dunfermline. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +30.8%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 22.3%

Odds: 2.72 EV: -39.3%

Draw 23.2%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -23.4%

Away 54.5%

Odds: 2.40 EV: +30.8%

Model lean: Away

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.2% Odds: 2.00 +8.4%

Over 3.5 31.9% Odds: 3.45 +10.1%

BTTS 54.4% Odds: 1.70 -7.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Airdrieonians

1.06

Dunfermline

1.79

Model SuggestionAway +30.8% ROI TRACKS: Away
Tracked ROI market: Away. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 59%

BTTS/No 41%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 6.7%

Bet Hit 50% (6 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.31) vs Home POOR (0.80)