Today / Halstenbek-R. vs HEBC

Halstenbek-R. vs HEBC Prediction

Tuesday, April 14, 2026

Halstenbek-R.

PPG 0.64 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

HEBC

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.0%0-114.5%0-28.1%0-33.0%0-4+1.1%1 1-012.0%1-113.4%1-27.5%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-05.6%2-16.2%2-23.5%2-31.3%2-4+0.5%3 3-01.7%3-11.9%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.5%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.9% — — —

Draw 30.3% — — —

Away win 39.8% — — —

Over 2.5 33.4% — — —

Over 3.5 15.0% — — —

BTTS 40.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob40.6%

D 30% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 33% / NoBTTS 41%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 14.5%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–0 13.0%

#4 1–0 12.0%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Halstenbek-R.0.9

HEBC1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.4% · O3.5 PROB 15.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HALSTENBEK-R. · PPG 0.64

HEBC · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.64), Away POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

Halstenbek-R. (H) 29.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

HEBC (A) 39.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Halstenbek-R. face HEBC on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Halstenbek-R. a 30% chance, the draw 30% and HEBC 40%, so HEBC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Halstenbek-R. and 1.1 for HEBC (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Halstenbek-R. are averaging 0.64 points per game versus 0.92 for HEBC. This match finished 1-4.

Halstenbek-R. vs HEBC Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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