Defensores U. vs S. Italiano Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

Defensores U. face S. Italiano in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Defensores U. a 28% chance, the draw 23% and S. Italiano 49%, so S. Italiano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Defensores U. and 1.8 for S. Italiano (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Defensores U. are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 2.25 for S. Italiano. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +89.1%. This match finished 2-0.