Today / Paloma vs Nikola Tesla

Paloma vs Nikola Tesla Prediction

Hamburg - 23 ·Tuesday, April 14, 2026

Paloma

PPG 2.17 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Nikola Tesla

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.17), Away AVERAGE (1.25) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-14.1%0-21.4%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-013.0%1-18.8%1-22.9%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.7%2-19.3%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.7%3-16.5%3-22.2%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-08.4%4+-15.7%4+-21.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.9% — — —

Draw 18.5% — — —

Away win 10.6% — — —

Over 2.5 52.9% — — —

Over 3.5 30.6% — — —

BTTS 43.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob43.2%

H 71% / xG 2.1-0.7 / O2.5 53% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.7%

#2 1–0 13.0%

#3 3–0 9.7%

#4 2–1 9.3%

#5 1–1✓ 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Paloma2.1

Nikola Tesla0.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.9% · O3.5 PROB 30.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PALOMA · PPG 2.17

NIKOLA TESLA · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.17), Away AVERAGE (1.25) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Paloma (H) 70.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 18.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nikola Tesla (A) 10.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Paloma face Nikola Tesla on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Paloma a 71% chance, the draw 19% and Nikola Tesla 11%, so Paloma are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Paloma and 0.7 for Nikola Tesla (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Paloma are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.25 for Nikola Tesla. This match finished 1-1.

Paloma vs Nikola Tesla Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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