NB I
▼ THIN-EDGE LEAGUE
SHARP MARKET — MODEL EDGE BELOW BREAK-EVEN HERE
Upcoming NB I predictions
DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
3 SEPT17:30 Gyori ETO FC vs Ferencvarosi TC BTTS 55% 1.48 -19%4 SEPT16:30 Vasas vs Nyiregyhaza Over 2.5 60% 1.73 +3%// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 43 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
51.2%
1X2
22/43
58.1%
O/U 2.5
25/43
65.1%
BTTS
28/43
44.2%
Exact score
19/43
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
10
Settled
50.0%
Hit rate
5/10
1.60
Avg odds
-20.7%
ROI
-2.1u
Picks by market
OVER 2.5 · N=6 33.3% HIT · AVG 1.60 · -42.2% ROI
HOME WIN · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.46 · +45.5% ROI
BTTS · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.55 · +55.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.98 · -100.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
✓ Solid
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+50.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
8
Bets
38%
Hit
-37.3%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+41.0%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
August 2026 // 15 PICKS · 7 HIT · 8 MISS
30 AUG Kisvarda FC vs Gyori ETO FC Away +3% 1–1 MISS30 AUG Puskas Academy vs Ferencvarosi TC BTTS -8% 1–2 HIT29 AUG Nyiregyhaza vs Paks Over 2.5 -6% 1–1 MISS28 AUG Debreceni VSC vs MTK Budapest BTTS -20% 2–2 HIT23 AUG Kisvarda FC vs Debreceni VSC BTTS -1% 0–0 MISS23 AUG Gyori ETO FC vs Zalaegerszegi TE Home +1% 3–0 HIT22 AUG MTK Budapest vs Nyiregyhaza Over 2.5 +8% 2–1 HIT21 AUG Paks vs Ujpest Over 2.5 +2% 2–0 MISS17 AUG Zalaegerszegi TE vs Ferencvarosi TC Over 2.5 +4% 0–1 MISS16 AUG Debreceni VSC vs Gyori ETO FC Over 2.5 -15% 1–1 MISS16 AUG Puskas Academy vs Paks Over 2.5 -5% 3–2 HIT15 AUG Ujpest vs MTK Budapest Over 2.5 +1% 1–1 MISS15 AUG Nyiregyhaza vs Kisvarda FC BTTS -11% 2–1 HIT9 AUG Debreceni VSC vs Nyiregyhaza BTTS -1% 1–0 MISS8 AUG Kisvarda FC vs Ujpest BTTS -17% 2–4 HIT