| Grade | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | 8 | 87.5% | +6650.0% |
| B | 1 | 100.0% | +5700.0% |
| D | 1 | 100.0% | +25500.0% |
| Unrated | 1 | 100.0% | +9200.0% |
| Market | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7 | 100.0% | +12214.0% |
| Over2.5 | 3 | 66.7% | +467.0% |
| Away | 1 | 100.0% | +6700.0% |
| Verdict | Bets | Hit% | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @23% | 1 | 100.0% | +15600.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @33% | 1 | 100.0% | +7600.0% |
| 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @24% | 1 | 100.0% | +9200.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value | Best EV: Home @48% | 1 | 100.0% | +15200.0% |
| ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | Best EV: Over2.5 @22% | 1 | 100.0% | +5700.0% |
| ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | Best EV: Over2.5 @12% | 1 | 100.0% | +3200.0% |
| ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away | Best EV: Away @34% | 1 | 100.0% | +6700.0% |
| ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | Best EV: Over2.5 @33% | 1 | 0.0% | −10000.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | Best EV: Home @5% | 1 | 100.0% | +9200.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @7% | 1 | 100.0% | +5700.0% |
| ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned | Best EV: Home @80% | 1 | 100.0% | +25500.0% |
| Date | Match | Pick | Odds | Result | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May | Maribor vs Aluminij | Over 2.5 | -8% EV | 3-0 | HIT |
| 23 May | Bravo vs NK Olimpija | BTTS | -6% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 22 May | Primorje vs NK Celje | Away | -9% EV | 0-4 | HIT |
| 22 May | Radomlje vs Mura | Over 2.5 | -4% EV | 3-2 | HIT |
| 17 May | Mura vs Maribor | BTTS | -17% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 17 May | NK Olimpija vs Radomlje | BTTS | -2% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 16 May | NK Celje vs Koper | Over 2.5 | 0% EV | 1-2 | HIT |
| 16 May | Aluminij vs Primorje | Over 2.5 | -4% EV | 0-0 | MISS |
| 10 May | Primorje vs Mura | BTTS | -11% EV | 0-2 | MISS |
| 9 May | Bravo vs Radomlje | Over 2.5 | -3% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 9 May | Koper vs Aluminij | Over 2.5 | -12% EV | 1-0 | MISS |
| 3 May | Mura vs Koper | BTTS | -1% EV | 0-1 | MISS |
| 3 May | Radomlje vs Maribor | BTTS | -6% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 2 May | NK Olimpija vs Primorje | Home | -19% EV | 3-0 | HIT |
| 2 May | NK Celje vs Bravo | Over 2.5 | -1% EV | 2-3 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Primorje vs Radomlje | Over 2.5 | -3% EV | 2-3 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | NK Celje vs Aluminij | Home | -14% EV | 5-0 | HIT |
| 26 Apr | Bravo vs Maribor | Over 2.5 | -7% EV | 3-0 | HIT |
| 25 Apr | Koper vs NK Olimpija | Over 2.5 | -1% EV | 3-2 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | Mura vs NK Celje | Away | 34% EV | 0-2 | HIT |
| 19 Apr | Aluminij vs Bravo | Over 2.5 | 33% EV | 0-1 | MISS |
| 18 Apr | Radomlje vs Koper | Over 2.5 | 22% EV | 0-3 | HIT |
| 18 Apr | Maribor vs Primorje | Home | 11% EV | 2-0 | HIT |
| 16 Apr | Aluminij vs Mura | Home | 48% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 15 Apr | Bravo vs Primorje | Home | 33% EV | 2-1 | HIT |
| 15 Apr | NK Celje vs NK Olimpija | Home | 24% EV | 2-0 | HIT |
| 14 Apr | Koper vs Maribor | BTTS | -22% EV | 3-1 | HIT |