1. SNL

SLOVENIA · 28 MATCHES TRACKED · 14 APR 2026 – 23 MAY 2026

▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE

MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 27 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

74.1%

1X2

20/27

66.7%

O/U 2.5

18/27

48.1%

BTTS

13/27

37.0%

Exact score

10/27

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

81.5%

Hit rate

22/27

1.60

Avg odds

+30.6%

ROI

+8.3u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

OVER 2.5 · N=12 75.0% HIT · AVG 1.58 · +18.8% ROI

BTTS · N=7 71.4% HIT · AVG 1.57 · +11.4% ROI

HOME WIN · N=6 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.69 · +68.8% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.53 · +53.5% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

🎯 Strong bet

Bets

100%

Hit

+84.0%

ROI

✓ Solid

Bets

100%

Hit

+74.0%

ROI

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

83%

Hit

+30.3%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

75%

Hit

+15.8%

ROI

Match log

27 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

May 2026 // 15 PICKS · 11 HIT · 4 MISS

23 MAY Maribor vs Aluminij Over 2.5 -8% 3–0 HIT 23 MAY Bravo vs NK Olimpija BTTS -6% 2–1 HIT 22 MAY Radomlje vs Mura Over 2.5 -4% 3–2 HIT 22 MAY Primorje vs NK Celje Away -9% 0–4 HIT 17 MAY Mura vs Maribor BTTS -17% 2–1 HIT 17 MAY NK Olimpija vs Radomlje BTTS -2% 2–1 HIT 16 MAY NK Celje vs Koper Over 2.5 +0% 1–2 HIT 16 MAY Aluminij vs Primorje Over 2.5 -4% 0–0 MISS 10 MAY Primorje vs Mura BTTS -11% 0–2 MISS 9 MAY Bravo vs Radomlje Over 2.5 -3% 2–1 HIT 9 MAY Koper vs Aluminij Over 2.5 -12% 1–0 MISS 3 MAY Mura vs Koper BTTS -1% 0–1 MISS 3 MAY Radomlje vs Maribor BTTS -6% 2–1 HIT 2 MAY NK Olimpija vs Primorje Home -19% 3–0 HIT 2 MAY NK Celje vs Bravo Over 2.5 -1% 2–3 HIT