← Back to picks

Cheltenham vs Gillingham Prediction— England - League Two

England - League Two logo England flag England - League Two Regular Season - 29 Whaddon Road· Cheltenham Tuesday, April 14, 2026 18:45
Cheltenham logo Cheltenham PPG 1.32
2-1 HIT CS2
Gillingham logo Gillingham PPG 1.05
Over3.5· +35.8% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Cheltenham face Gillingham in England - League Two on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cheltenham a 45% chance, the draw 24% and Gillingham 31%, so Cheltenham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Cheltenham and 1.4 for Gillingham (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cheltenham are averaging 1.32 points per game versus 1.05 for Gillingham. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +35.8%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.0%
Odds: 2.44 EV: +9.8%
Draw 23.8%
Odds: 3.25 EV: -22.7%
Away 31.2%
Odds: 2.86 EV: -10.8%
Model lean: BTTS
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.6% Odds: 2.10 +23.1%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 3.75 +35.8%
BTTS 60.5% Odds: 1.77 +7.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 1-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Cheltenham
1.68
Gillingham
1.36

Model Suggestion

BTTS +7.1% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+35.8%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.32), Away AVERAGE (1.05)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org