First League

BULGARIA · 8 MATCHES TRACKED · 13 APR 2026 – 16 APR 2026

● LOW SAMPLE

FEWER THAN 10 SETTLED PICKS — NO VERDICT YET

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 6 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

33.3%

1X2

2/6

33.3%

O/U 2.5

2/6

33.3%

BTTS

2/6

16.7%

Exact score

1/6

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

0.0%

Hit rate

0/5

1.74

Avg odds

-100.0%

ROI

-5.0u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

BTTS · N=3 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.78 · -100.0% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=2 0.0% HIT · AVG 1.68 · -100.0% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Fair / Caution

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

Hit

-100.0%

ROI

Match log

6 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

April 2026 // 5 PICKS · 0 HIT · 5 MISS

16 APR Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna BTTS +6% 0–0 MISS 16 APR Montana vs Slavia Sofia Away +12% 0–0 MISS 15 APR Cherno More vs CSKA 1948 Sofia BTTS -5% 0–4 MISS 15 APR Arda vs Ludogorets Away -11% 1–0 MISS 14 APR Botev Vratsa vs Lokomotiv Sofia — NO PICK 3–2 —14 APR Dobrudzha vs Botev Plovdiv BTTS +16% 0–3 MISS