Dobrudzha vs Botev Plovdiv Prediction— Bulgaria - First League

Match Preview & Prediction

Dobrudzha face Botev Plovdiv in Bulgaria - First League on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dobrudzha a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Botev Plovdiv 40%, so Botev Plovdiv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Dobrudzha and 1.7 for Botev Plovdiv (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dobrudzha are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.29 for Botev Plovdiv. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +49.9%. This match finished 0-3.