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South Shields vs Macclesfield Prediction— England - National League - North

England - National League - North logo England flag England - National League - North North - 31 1st Cloud Arena· South Shields, Tyne and Wear Tuesday, April 14, 2026 18:45
South Shields logo South Shields PPG 2.43
4-1 MISS
Macclesfield logo Macclesfield PPG 1.76
Home· +30.0% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

South Shields face Macclesfield in England - National League - North on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives South Shields a 72% chance, the draw 16% and Macclesfield 12%, so South Shields are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for South Shields and 0.9 for Macclesfield (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, South Shields are averaging 2.43 points per game versus 1.76 for Macclesfield. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.0%. This match finished 4-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 72.2%
Odds: 1.80 EV: +30.0%
Draw 16.3%
Odds: 3.65 EV: -40.5%
Away 11.5%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -57.5%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.9% Odds: 1.50 -1.1%
Over 3.5 44.0% Odds: 2.20 -3.2%
BTTS 54.4% Odds: 1.45 -21.1%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 2-1
3rd 3-0
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

South Shields
2.50
Macclesfield
0.90

Model Suggestion

Home +30.0% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%
O2.5/Under 66%
BTTS/No 62%
Score Hit 31%
ROI 5.4%
Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.43) > Away GOOD (1.76)

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