Today / England - League One / Huddersfield vs Cardiff City

Huddersfield vs Cardiff City Prediction— England - League One

Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 18:45

Huddersfield

PPG 1.95 · HOME

UPCOMING

Cardiff City

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 67.9% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+8.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.4%0-24.8%0-32.8%0-4+1.8%1 1-05.3%1-19.3%1-28.2%1-34.8%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.6%2-18.0%2-27.1%2-34.1%2-4+2.7%3 3-02.6%3-14.6%3-24.1%3-32.4%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.9%4+-22.6%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.1% 32.3% 3.10 +18.1%

Draw 22.4% 28.6% 3.50 -21.6%

Away win 39.5% 46.3% 2.16 -14.7%

Over 2.5 67.5% 56.5% 1.77 +19.5%

Over 3.5 45.8% 34.5% 2.90 +32.8%

BTTS 67.9% 62.5% 1.60 +8.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -13.9%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob67.9%

A 40% / xG 1.7-1.8 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.3%

#2 1–2 8.2%

#3 2–1 8.0%

#4 2–2 7.1%

#5 0–1 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Huddersfield1.7

Cardiff City1.8

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.5% · O3.5 PROB 45.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HUDDERSFIELD · PPG 1.95

CARDIFF CITY · PPG 1.70

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.95), Away GOOD (1.70)

Win probability 1X2

Huddersfield (H) 38.1%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +18.1%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -21.6%

Cardiff City (A) 39.5%

ODDS 2.16 · IMPLIED 46.3% EV -14.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Huddersfield face Cardiff City in England - League One on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Huddersfield a 38% chance, the draw 22% and Cardiff City 40%, so Cardiff City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Huddersfield and 1.8 for Cardiff City (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Huddersfield are averaging 1.95 points per game versus 1.70 for Cardiff City. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +32.8%.

Huddersfield vs Cardiff City Prediction— England - League One

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - League One Predictions