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AFC Totton vs Bath City Prediction— England - National League - South

England - National League - South logo England flag England - National League - South South - 32 Snows Stadium· Totton, Hampshire Tuesday, April 14, 2026 18:45
AFC Totton logo AFC Totton PPG 2.05
2-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Bath City logo Bath City PPG 0.71
Home· +13.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

AFC Totton face Bath City in England - National League - South on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AFC Totton a 62% chance, the draw 21% and Bath City 18%, so AFC Totton are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for AFC Totton and 1.0 for Bath City (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AFC Totton are averaging 2.05 points per game versus 0.71 for Bath City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +13.8%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.5%
Odds: 1.85 EV: +13.8%
Draw 20.6%
Odds: 3.55 EV: -26.9%
Away 17.9%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -35.6%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.8% Odds: 1.70 +1.7%
Over 3.5 37.4% Odds: 2.75 +2.9%
BTTS 56.0% Odds: 1.60 -10.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

AFC Totton
2.07
Bath City
1.02

Model Suggestion

Home +13.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 67%
Score Hit 37%
ROI 26.0%
Bet Hit 73% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.05) vs P(Home)=61.5%

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org