Stamford vs Banbury Utd Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

England - Non League Premier - Southern Central Tuesday, April 14, 2026 18:45

Stamford PPG 1.53

4-0 MISS

Banbury Utd PPG 0.95

Draw· -3.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Stamford face Banbury Utd in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stamford a 34% chance, the draw 30% and Banbury Utd 36%, so Banbury Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Stamford and 1.1 for Banbury Utd (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stamford are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 0.95 for Banbury Utd. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.1%

Odds: 2.30 EV: -21.6%

Draw 29.7%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -3.5%

Away 36.2%

Odds: 2.60 EV: -5.9%

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.9% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 16.7% Odds: — —

BTTS 43.0% Odds: 1.70 -26.9%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Stamford

1.05

Banbury Utd

1.09

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away POOR (0.95)