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Stamford vs Banbury Utd Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 18:45

Stamford

PPG 1.53 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

Banbury Utd

PPG 0.95 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.9%0-112.9%0-27.0%0-32.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.4%1-113.5%1-27.3%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.5%2-17.0%2-23.8%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.3%3-12.5%3-21.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.8%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.1% 43.5% 2.30 -21.6%

Draw 29.7% 30.8% 3.25 -3.5%

Away win 36.2% 38.5% 2.60 -5.9%

Over 2.5 35.9% — — —

Over 3.5 16.7% — — —

BTTS 43.0% 58.8% 1.70 -26.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 22 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 32%

ROI -14.7%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob43.0%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 43%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–1 12.9%

#3 1–0 12.4%

#4 0–0 11.9%

#5 1–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stamford1.0

Banbury Utd1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 16.7%

Form & verdict PPG

STAMFORD · PPG 1.53

BANBURY UTD · PPG 0.95

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away POOR (0.95)

Win probability 1X2

Stamford (H) 34.1%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -21.6%

Draw 29.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -3.5%

Banbury Utd (A) 36.2%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -5.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Stamford face Banbury Utd in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stamford a 34% chance, the draw 30% and Banbury Utd 36%, so Banbury Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Stamford and 1.1 for Banbury Utd (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stamford are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 0.95 for Banbury Utd. This match finished 4-0.

Stamford vs Banbury Utd Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Match Preview & Prediction

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