Catanzaro vs Modena Prediction & Tips

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Italy - Serie B Regular Season - 31 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo· Catanzaro Tuesday, April 14, 2026 17:00

Catanzaro PPG 1.94

2-2 MISS

Modena PPG 1.44

Home· +10.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 43.5%

Odds: 2.54 EV: +10.5%

Draw 25.4%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -17.4%

Away 31.2%

Odds: 2.70 EV: -15.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.4% Odds: 1.95 +0.2%

Over 3.5 29.3% Odds: 3.40 -0.4%

BTTS 55.0% Odds: 1.70 -6.5%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Catanzaro

1.50

Modena

1.23

Model SuggestionBTTS -6.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -6.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+10.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 55%

BTTS/No 57%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 6.9%

Bet Hit 59% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.94) > Away AVERAGE (1.44)