Alashkert face Ararat Yerevan in Armenia - Premier League on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alashkert a 92% chance, the draw 6% and Ararat Yerevan 2%, so Alashkert are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for Alashkert and 0.5 for Ararat Yerevan (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alashkert are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 0.40 for Ararat Yerevan. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +88.8%.
Based on 32 resolved predictions
Home team in GOOD form (1.90), Away POOR (0.40) - Strong consensus