Leagues / EGYPT / Premier League
Premier League
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DateMatchPickProbOddsEV
3 SEPT17:00 Al Ahly vs Smouha SC — NO PICK — — —// Model accuracy
How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 75 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.
42.7%
1X2
32/75
61.3%
O/U 2.5
46/75
57.3%
BTTS
43/75
49.3%
Exact score
37/75
// Published picks
Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.
13
Settled
46.2%
Hit rate
6/13
2.19
Avg odds
-0.5%
ROI
-0.1u
Picks by market
HOME WIN · N=6 50.0% HIT · AVG 2.26 · +15.3% ROI
BTTS · N=5 40.0% HIT · AVG 2.09 · -17.4% ROI
DRAW · N=1 0.0% HIT · AVG 2.60 · -100.0% ROI
AWAY WIN · N=1 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.88 · +88.0% ROI
Picks by verdict tier
🎯 Strong bet
1
Bets
100%
Hit
+108.0%
ROI
✓ Solid
2
Bets
50%
Hit
+10.0%
ROI
✓ Fair / Caution
4
Bets
25%
Hit
-30.0%
ROI
⚠ Low confidence
6
Bets
50%
Hit
-2.5%
ROI
Match log
DateMatchPickEVFTResult
September 2026 // 1 PICK · 0 HIT · 1 MISS
2 SEPT El Gouna FC vs El Mokawloon — NO PICK 0–1 —2 SEPT Abu Qair Semad vs Al Ittihad — NO PICK 0–2 —2 SEPT Ceramica Cleopatra vs Future FC — NO PICK 2–0 —1 SEPT El Geish vs Masr — NO PICK 0–1 —1 SEPT Ghazl El Mehalla vs Enppi BTTS +11% 0–0 MISSAugust 2026 // 1 PICK · 0 HIT · 1 MISS
31 AUG AL Masry vs Pyramids FC BTTS -5% 0–1 MISS31 AUG Zamalek SC vs Petrojet — NO PICK 2–1 —28 AUG Enppi vs Wadi Degla — NO PICK 1–3 —28 AUG Masr vs Al Ahly — NO PICK 0–2 —28 AUG Al Ittihad vs Ceramica Cleopatra — NO PICK 1–3 —27 AUG Future FC vs Ghazl El Mehalla — NO PICK 2–0 —27 AUG El Mokawloon vs AL Masry — NO PICK 2–3 —26 AUG National Bank of Egypt vs Zamalek SC — NO PICK 0–3 —26 AUG Petrojet vs El Geish — NO PICK 2–3 —23 AUG El Gouna FC vs Future FC — NO PICK 1–1 —