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Peterb. U21 vs Brentford U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Tuesday, April 14, 2026, 12:00

Peterb. U21

PPG 1.85 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brentford U21

PPG 2.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.85), Away EXCELLENT (2.15)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-17.8%0-25.6%0-32.7%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.0%1-111.5%1-28.3%1-34.0%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.9%2-18.5%2-26.1%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.9%3-14.2%3-23.0%3-31.5%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.2%4+-21.6%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 38.5% 2.60 +0.1%

Draw 24.7% 24.4% 4.10 +1.3%

Away win 36.8% 48.8% 2.05 -24.6%

Over 2.5 55.9% — — —

Over 3.5 33.6% 62.5% 1.60 -46.2%

BTTS 59.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 18%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.0%

H 38% / xG 1.5-1.4 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 1–0 8.0%

#5 0–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Peterb. U211.5

Brentford U211.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.9% · O3.5 PROB 33.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PETERB. U21 · PPG 1.85

BRENTFORD U21 · PPG 2.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.85), Away EXCELLENT (2.15)

Win probability 1X2

Peterb. U21 (H) 38.5%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +0.1%

Draw 24.7%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +1.3%

Brentford U21 (A) 36.8%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -24.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Peterb. U21 face Brentford U21 in England - Professional Development League on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peterb. U21 a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Brentford U21 37%, so Peterb. U21 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Peterb. U21 and 1.4 for Brentford U21 (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peterb. U21 are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 2.15 for Brentford U21. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +1.3%.

Peterb. U21 vs Brentford U21 Prediction— England - Professional Development League

Match Preview & Prediction

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