Wealdstone vs Boston Utd Prediction— England - National League

England - National League Tuesday, April 14, 2026 18:45

Wealdstone PPG 1.76

1-1 HIT CS2

Boston Utd PPG 1.33

Over3.5· +22.9% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Wealdstone face Boston Utd in England - National League on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wealdstone a 52% chance, the draw 22% and Boston Utd 27%, so Wealdstone are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Wealdstone and 1.4 for Boston Utd (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wealdstone are averaging 1.76 points per game versus 1.33 for Boston Utd. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +22.9%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.8%

Odds: 2.10 EV: +8.8%

Draw 21.5%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -25.8%

Away 26.7%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -19.9%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 66.5% Odds: 1.70 +13.1%

Over 3.5 44.7% Odds: 2.75 +22.9%

BTTS 65.5% Odds: 1.55 +1.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✔

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Wealdstone

2.02

Boston Utd

1.41

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +13.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+22.9%)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.76) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)