Today / Modern Sport vs El Gouna
Modern Sport vs El Gouna Prediction
Tuesday, April 14, 2026
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
D 30% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 42%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 15.8%
Form & verdict
MODERN SPORT · PPG 1.18
EL GOUNA · PPG 1.58
Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.18) vs Away GOOD (1.58)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Modern Sport face El Gouna on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Modern Sport a 32% chance, the draw 30% and El Gouna 38%, so El Gouna are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Modern Sport and 1.1 for El Gouna (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Modern Sport are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.58 for El Gouna.